Patriots Dolphins Spread For Monday Night Football Betting
The New England Patriots are not used to being the third best team in their own division, but according to our NFL Power Rankings that's exactly what they are at this juncture of the season, with both the Dolphins and the Jets playing high quality football. The oddsmakers don't quite agree but the latest Patriots Dolphins spread is set at only +1 point, with Miami installed as the smallest of underdogs.
The Jets, Dolphins, and Patriots are all at 2-1 but the Jets have the advantage in the AFC East title race as their two wins have come against the two teams that play on Monday. That makes this game extremely important, with the stakes even higher than they already were to begin with. It is also an opportunity for the Dolphins to win one in front of a large national audience after New York shaded them in a close one last week.
The line offers good betting value on Miami who have the ability to win this game, while the number itself panders to casual betting fans who typically overbet the Patriots based on prior glories. Our recommended wager here is on the Dolphins, who could be a tough nut to crack at home.
The Over/Under total points number is set high at 46.5 points probably because a lot of NFL gamblers take the Over in Monday night games. Once again an analysis of past form suggests that the Under is the right bet here as the Dolphins defence is their main strength and should lead to a more physical less end-to-end type of encounter.
