Article published on 18 August 2010

Indianapolis Colts Buffalo Bills NFL Betting Preview

The Buffalo Bills take on the Indianapolis Colts
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The first free NFL pick for the second week of preseason betting action is for a game close (literally) to Canadians as the beaten Super Bowl finalists from Indianapolis visit a team used to losing in Super Bowls, the Buffalo Bills. Our free betting analysis for the game comes from the sports handicapping powers at Mycapper.com - so please pay them a visit if you are interested in making informed decisions about wagering on the NFL this year.

The Colts were trounced in their first NFL exhibition game when they faced the 49ers and the Bills were also beaten by the Redskins in week 1. Buffalo are favoured to win this game but that is probably because they have home field advantage. Indianapolis rarely play well in the preseason so we're leaning towards a Bills win and cover here.

The expert pick is for the Over/Under bet however: Colts at Bills - Bet on the UNDER for total points

Analysis: "Two things are clear. The Colts are a terrible preseason team. The Bills are a terrible team, regardless of whether the other team is trying or not. Indianapolis rarely play well in the first month of the regular season, that's how slow they are to hit their peak. The Bills were comical in their first preseason game and may struggle to improve. All this being said where do we go from here? Well, points should be hard to come by with neither team playing well - there could be freak scores of course, and those cannot be predicted, but in terms of probability this one shouldn't produce a lot of points.

Our statistical database of past performances suggests that the correct total points number here is 30. The actual market is at 34 points, so there is definitely value in taking the UNDER tonight and if you're a casual fan of the game then not watching is probably also a good idea."

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